Residential Rental Rates Falling?
Tuesday, January 13th, 2009Calculated Risk’s post More CRE Woes: Multifamily housing details that loans on multifamily properties have seen an increase in delinquencies.
Apartment to Condominium Conversions
Some of this can be attributed to the reconversion of condominium conversion projects.
During the heyday of low interest rates and the housing bubble. Developers were buying apartment buildings, upgrading the units, filing a condominium map, and then selling the complex as condominiums to buyers. Often this was less expensive than buying land and building a brand new condominium project.
Condominium to Apartment Conversions
With lending criteria tightened, demand for condominiums has dramatically fallen.
Developers are being forced to offer these projects not for sale but for rent in order to make loan payments on their construction loans. These condominiums are being returned to rental status.
Rental Supply and Demand
Initially the condominium conversion projects decreased the available supply of rental housing, as apartment projects were bought for conversion. A decrease in supply lead to increasing rental rates.
Today, the opposite is happening. Condominium projects that are rented are increasing the supply of rental units and rental rates should decrease.
Calculated Risk’s post from Friday, The Residential Real Estate Market, details this exact scenario.
Adding to the woes are the fact that thousands of vacant single family residences are still on the market. As these are absorbed demand for rentals is likely to decrease again pushing rental rates even lower.

